Wipro Fundamental And Technical Analysis

Wipro Fundamental And Technical Analysis

Fundamental Analysis

1. Company Overview:

  • Wipro Limited is a leading global IT, consulting, and business process services company with operations in over 50 countries.
  • It has strong verticals in BFSI (Banking, Financial Services, and Insurance), healthcare, consumer goods, and energy sectors.

2. Key Financial Metrics (as of Jan 2025):

  • Market Cap: ₹2.95 trillion
  • Revenue Growth: Moderate annual growth of 8%-10%.
  • Net Profit Margin (TTM): ~13.5%, indicating efficient cost management.
  • P/E Ratio: ~23.8 – slightly higher than peers like Infosys (21.5), suggesting it may be priced at a premium.
  • Dividend Yield: ~1.5%, attractive for income-seeking investors.

3. Strengths:

  • Diversified revenue base across geographies and industries.
  • Focus on high-growth areas like cloud services, cybersecurity, and AI/ML.
  • Solid free cash flow generation (~₹10,000 crore annually), supporting dividends and buybacks.

4. Weaknesses:

  • Reliance on the US (~55% revenue) makes it vulnerable to macroeconomic changes in that market.
  • Slower revenue growth compared to competitors like TCS and Infosys.
  • High attrition rates (~20%) can affect project delivery and margins.

5. Recent Developments:

  • Quarterly Earnings (Q3 FY25): Revenue growth of 4% QoQ and PAT growth of 6.5%.
  • Recently announced partnerships in AI solutions and cloud migrations.
  • Strong order book (~$2.7 billion) for FY25, reflecting sustained demand for IT services.

6. Valuation:

  • Fair valuation with a forward P/E ratio of 22-24, compared to the industry average.
  • Long-term investors should focus on its dividend-paying history and strong cash reserves.

Technical Analysis

1. Current Price Levels (as of Jan 20, 2025):

  • Last Close: ₹301.70
  • 52-Week Range: ₹208.50 (low) – ₹320.00 (high)

2. Key Indicators:

  • Moving Averages:
    • 50-day SMA: ₹285 (current price above this indicates a short-term uptrend).
    • 200-day SMA: ₹268 (price above 200-day SMA suggests long-term bullish momentum).
  • RSI (Relative Strength Index): 64 – indicates the stock is nearing the overbought zone (70+ is overbought).
  • MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Positive crossover, signaling bullish momentum.
  • Bollinger Bands: The price is near the upper band, indicating strong upward momentum but potential for a pullback.

3. Support and Resistance Levels:

  • Immediate Support: ₹290 (50-day SMA level).
  • Critical Support: ₹270 (200-day SMA and strong demand zone).
  • Resistance: ₹310 (recent high); breaking this could lead to ₹320 (52-week high).

4. Volume Analysis:

  • Rising volumes in the past week suggest accumulation by institutional investors.
  • Average trading volume is healthy, with significant spikes during upward price movements.

5. Chart Patterns:

  • Ascending Triangle Formation: Indicates a continuation of the uptrend if ₹310 resistance is breached.
  • Golden Crossover (50-day SMA crossing above 200-day SMA): A bullish signal observed last month.

6. Trend Analysis:

  • Wipro is in a strong uptrend in the short term, supported by bullish price action and momentum indicators.
  • Consolidation around ₹290-310 could happen before any breakout.

Conclusion:

  • Fundamental Outlook: Wipro remains a solid choice for long-term investors, given its strong cash flow, steady revenue growth, and robust dividend payouts. However, slower growth compared to peers is a concern.
  • Technical Outlook: The stock is bullish in both short and long-term trends. A break above ₹310 could signal further upside to ₹320 or ₹350. However, if it falls below ₹290, a deeper correction toward ₹270 could occur.

Recommendation:

  • Long-term investors: Accumulate at dips, especially near ₹270.
  • Short-term traders: Watch for a breakout above ₹310 with stop-loss at ₹290.

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