Nifty Trading Setup For Budget Day

Nifty Trading Setup For Budget Day

As of February 1, 2025, the Nifty 50 index is exhibiting specific support and resistance levels that traders should monitor for effective decision-making.

Key Support and Resistance Levels:

  • Immediate Support: The Nifty has immediate support at 23,065. A breach below this level could lead to increased selling pressure.
  • Immediate Resistance: The index faces immediate resistance in the 23,350-23,400 zone. A decisive move above this range may signal the continuation of the current rally.

Technical Indicators:

  • Moving Averages: The Nifty has recently closed above its 10-day moving average (10-DMA) for the first time since January 3, 2025, indicating a potential shift from a bearish to a bullish trend.
  • Candlestick Patterns: A long bullish candlestick formation on the daily chart suggests increased investor participation and a positive sentiment.

Derivative Market Insights:

  • Rollover Data: Approximately 81% of Nifty futures positions were rolled over into the February series, higher than the average of 77% in the previous three series. This indicates traders’ confidence and willingness to maintain positions.
  • Sectoral Open Interest: Financial services and information technology sectors have the highest open interest, reflecting significant trader interest in these areas.

Foreign Investor Activity:

  • FPI Positions: Foreign portfolio investors have reduced their short positions in index futures over the last six sessions, suggesting a potential slowdown in outflows and a more stable market outlook.

Upcoming Events:

  • Union Budget Announcement: The annual budget is scheduled for today, February 1. Any fiscal measures introduced could significantly influence market sentiment and direction.
  • RBI Policy Decision: The Reserve Bank of India’s policy decision is expected next week. Anticipated measures, such as liquidity injections or interest rate adjustments, could further impact market dynamics.

Conclusion:

Traders should closely monitor the aforementioned support and resistance levels, as well as key technical indicators, to make informed decisions. Staying updated on sector-specific trends and forthcoming economic events will provide additional insights into potential market movements.

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