Fundamental Analysis
1. Company Overview:
- Wipro Limited is a leading global IT, consulting, and business process services company with operations in over 50 countries.
- It has strong verticals in BFSI (Banking, Financial Services, and Insurance), healthcare, consumer goods, and energy sectors.
2. Key Financial Metrics (as of Jan 2025):
- Market Cap: ₹2.95 trillion
- Revenue Growth: Moderate annual growth of 8%-10%.
- Net Profit Margin (TTM): ~13.5%, indicating efficient cost management.
- P/E Ratio: ~23.8 – slightly higher than peers like Infosys (21.5), suggesting it may be priced at a premium.
- Dividend Yield: ~1.5%, attractive for income-seeking investors.
3. Strengths:
- Diversified revenue base across geographies and industries.
- Focus on high-growth areas like cloud services, cybersecurity, and AI/ML.
- Solid free cash flow generation (~₹10,000 crore annually), supporting dividends and buybacks.
4. Weaknesses:
- Reliance on the US (~55% revenue) makes it vulnerable to macroeconomic changes in that market.
- Slower revenue growth compared to competitors like TCS and Infosys.
- High attrition rates (~20%) can affect project delivery and margins.
5. Recent Developments:
- Quarterly Earnings (Q3 FY25): Revenue growth of 4% QoQ and PAT growth of 6.5%.
- Recently announced partnerships in AI solutions and cloud migrations.
- Strong order book (~$2.7 billion) for FY25, reflecting sustained demand for IT services.
6. Valuation:
- Fair valuation with a forward P/E ratio of 22-24, compared to the industry average.
- Long-term investors should focus on its dividend-paying history and strong cash reserves.
Technical Analysis
1. Current Price Levels (as of Jan 20, 2025):
- Last Close: ₹301.70
- 52-Week Range: ₹208.50 (low) – ₹320.00 (high)
2. Key Indicators:
- Moving Averages:
- 50-day SMA: ₹285 (current price above this indicates a short-term uptrend).
- 200-day SMA: ₹268 (price above 200-day SMA suggests long-term bullish momentum).
- RSI (Relative Strength Index): 64 – indicates the stock is nearing the overbought zone (70+ is overbought).
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Positive crossover, signaling bullish momentum.
- Bollinger Bands: The price is near the upper band, indicating strong upward momentum but potential for a pullback.
3. Support and Resistance Levels:
- Immediate Support: ₹290 (50-day SMA level).
- Critical Support: ₹270 (200-day SMA and strong demand zone).
- Resistance: ₹310 (recent high); breaking this could lead to ₹320 (52-week high).
4. Volume Analysis:
- Rising volumes in the past week suggest accumulation by institutional investors.
- Average trading volume is healthy, with significant spikes during upward price movements.
5. Chart Patterns:
- Ascending Triangle Formation: Indicates a continuation of the uptrend if ₹310 resistance is breached.
- Golden Crossover (50-day SMA crossing above 200-day SMA): A bullish signal observed last month.
6. Trend Analysis:
- Wipro is in a strong uptrend in the short term, supported by bullish price action and momentum indicators.
- Consolidation around ₹290-310 could happen before any breakout.
Conclusion:
- Fundamental Outlook: Wipro remains a solid choice for long-term investors, given its strong cash flow, steady revenue growth, and robust dividend payouts. However, slower growth compared to peers is a concern.
- Technical Outlook: The stock is bullish in both short and long-term trends. A break above ₹310 could signal further upside to ₹320 or ₹350. However, if it falls below ₹290, a deeper correction toward ₹270 could occur.
Recommendation:
- Long-term investors: Accumulate at dips, especially near ₹270.
- Short-term traders: Watch for a breakout above ₹310 with stop-loss at ₹290.